Nocatee Stayed Tight as New Listings Fell
Nationally, Realtor.com reported that price cuts hit 20.8% of listings in September, the highest share since October 2022. Nocatee told a different story. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted only 230 new listings in Nocatee for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That was down 13.2% from the same months a year before. Fewer sellers meant less competition among sellers, and buyers had a shorter list to work from.
2.7
Months of supply in Nocatee, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
At 2.7 months of supply, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator, Nocatee sat well below what most economists call a balanced market. That number was down 1.7 months from a year before. When supply shrinks that fast, the homes that do hit the market tend to move.
What the numbers showed in Nocatee
Nocatee (32081), three months ending August 31, 2026
| Measure | Number | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $699,787 | Up 6.8% from a year before |
| Homes sold | 285 | Up 5.9% from a year before |
| Homes for sale | 250 | Down 34.9% from a year before |
| Median days on market | 90 days | 2 days shorter than a year before |
| Sale to list price | 97.7% | Up 0.3 points from a year before |
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that the median sale price in Nocatee rose 6.8% year over year to $699,787. That happened while the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose just 2.6% over the same span. Nocatee ran well ahead of the national pace.
Ninety days was the median time on market, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Not every home sold fast. But 21.6% of Nocatee homes went under contract within two weeks of listing. That share was up 8.5 points from a year before. When a well-priced home came up, buyers moved.
21.6
Percent of Nocatee homes under contract within two weeks, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
Ponte Vedra Beach ran its own race
Ponte Vedra Beach is a different market. It is the established, oceanfront side of this corridor, and its numbers moved differently. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 218 homes sold in the Ponte Vedra Beach area for the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 17.8% from a year before. New listings there rose 11.2%, the opposite direction from Nocatee.
The median sale price in Ponte Vedra Beach came in at $852,500, down 18.8% from a year before. More supply and a shift in the mix of homes that sold both play into that. The median days on market was 66 days, 11 days shorter than a year ago, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Homes sold faster even as the median price pulled back.
Nocatee vs. Ponte Vedra Beach, three months ending August 31, 2026
| Nocatee (32081) | Ponte Vedra Beach (32082) | |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $699,787 | $852,500 |
| Homes sold | 285 | 218 |
| New listings change | -13.2% | +11.2% |
| Median days on market | 90 | 66 |
| Sale to list price | 97.7% | 95.9% |
| Under contract in 2 weeks | 21.6% | 29% |
Real Estate Data Aggregator. These are two separate markets. Do not read one as a stand-in for the other.
The rate backdrop every buyer is dealing with
Freddie Mac put the 30-year fixed rate at 7.40% as of October 8, 2026. The 15-year fixed averaged 6.73%. Realtor.com noted that rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025. That is the cost of money every buyer here is working with right now.
| Mortgage rates as of October 8, 2026 |
|---|
| 30-year fixed 7.4% |
| 15-year fixed 6.7% |
Freddie Mac, read October 10, 2026.
Rates above 7% keep some sellers in place. They bought at lower rates and do not want to trade up into a higher payment. That helps explain why new listings in Nocatee fell 13.2%. Fewer sellers willing to move means fewer homes for buyers to choose from.
Combined, both areas still tightened
Across Nocatee and Ponte Vedra Beach together, the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 503 homes sold for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That was up 10.8% from a year before. Homes for sale across both areas fell 29.5% to 489. Pending sales rose 4.5% to 483. Demand held up. Supply did not keep pace.
Nocatee and Ponte Vedra Beach combined, three months ending August 31, 2026
| Measure | Number | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Homes sold | 503 | Up 10.8% year over year |
| Homes for sale | 489 | Down 29.5% year over year |
| Pending sales | 483 | Up 4.5% year over year |
| New listings | 449 | Down 2.8% year over year |
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026
In short
- Nocatee's supply shrank sharply while sales and prices rose.
- Ponte Vedra Beach saw more listings and faster sales, but the median price pulled back.
- Rates above 7% are shaping what both buyers and sellers decide to do.
- One street can read very differently from the ZIP code average.
Your next step
Text us your address and we'll send back where your Nocatee or Ponte Vedra Beach home sits against what actually sold in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.
Where these numbers came from
- Real Estate Data Aggregator numbers for ZIPs 32081 and 32082, the three months ending August 31, 2026, compared with the same months of 2025. Real Estate Data Aggregator last updated them on Oct 7, 2026.
- Federal Housing Finance Agency: FHFA House Price Index® Up 0.3 Percent in July; Up 2.6 Percent from Last Year | FHFA, Sep 29, 2026
- Redfin: One in Five Home Sellers Cut Prices as Buyer’s Market Persists, Sep 30, 2026
- Realtor.com: September 2026 Monthly Housing Trends: Price Cuts Hit 4-Year Highs as Mortgage Rates Top 7%, Sep 30, 2026
- Realtor.com: August 2026 Rental Report: Rents Fall for 37th Straight Month as Concessions Give Renters More Leverage, Sep 17, 2026
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates, read Oct 10, 2026
Ben Glynn is a licensed real estate agent. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
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